The industrial age of energy and transport z..u ws..ITony Seba of Standford University. M…..j.
The Stone Age did not end becaj s …….. use we jran. z, .m out o…f rocks. It end. .. , the,,..ed because a disruptive technology ushered in the Bronze Age. The era of centralized, command-and-control, extraction-resource-based energy sources (oil, gas, coal and nuclear) will not end because we run out ofwq petroleum, natural gas, coal, or uranium. It will end be m..cause these energy sources, the business models they employ, and the products that sustain thsxaqeem will be disrupted by superior technologies, product architectures, and business models.
This is a technology-based disruption reminiscent of how the cell phone, Internet, and personal computer swept away industries such as landline telephony, publishing, and mainframe computers. Just like those technology disruptions flipped the architecture of information and brought abundant, cheap and participatory information, the clean disruption will flip the architecture of energy and bring abundant, cheap and participatory energy. Just like those previous technology disruptions, the clean disruption is inevitable and it will be swift.
This week I gave a presentation during the seminar held at the International Conference Centre of Seychelles on Laudato Si – Our Common Home, Pope Francis’ Encyclical.
The Encyclical was relased on Earth Day in April 2015. Its now 3 years old and has been debated by many so I’m not going to discuss the content. Rather I want to talk about my personal experience with it.
I read it as soon as it was available as a PDF on the net in April 2015. I read it from cover to cover. In my opinion its the most important document written by any religious leader on the human condition as it relates to nature and in turn back to itself. I am not a Christian but you don’t have to be a follower or even a believer to be taken by document.
One of the things that amazes me is that it is the first time I see a major religious leader agreeing with scientists on matters such as climate change even though there a are prominent catholic politicians in the US and elsewhere who are science detractors and climate change deniers.
In May 2015 I wrote to the Bishop Denis Wiehe of the Catholic Church in Seychelles about it and pledged my support to push it forward. The Bishop arranged an interaction between myself and the senior clergy soon after that. We must have spent at least a couple of hours discussing this magnus opus. At that time it was only available as a print-out. In July of that year the publication was released and the Bishop sent me a copy.
That was in 2015. What puzzles me is that this incredible thesis has found so little traction even within the Catholic church. I couldn’t find any press documents and briefings from the Vatican on it. I would have thought there would have been educational and awareness’ resources produced. Nothing. At the Paris Climate Change summit in 2015, which I attended, it didn’t rock the international community like Time magazine said it would. Why is that? Why is it that 3 years later we are re- introducing it? I don’t have the answers to these questions but I believe they are important for us to debate.
My father’s company Jivan Jetha and Co used to provide food, fuel and other supplies to the settlement on Diego Garcia in the remote Chagos archipelago and exported the copra produced there in the 50’s and 60’s. When the British dissected the islands from Mauritius 3 years prior to Mauritian independence, Dad, also a historian, folklorist, environmentalist and one never to mince his words, told the British Governor in Seychelles that “one day the Chagos is going to come back to bite Britain in the butt”.
It took a while but last year the UK got an epic kick in its derriere at the United Nations general assembly in a vote over its hold on the disputed islands. By a margin of 94 to 15 countries, delegates supported a Mauritian-backed resolution to seek an advisory opinion from the international court of justice (ICJ) on the legal status of the Chagos.
This week, at the opening submissions of this legal challenge at the court in The Hague, the Guardian reports that Sir Anerood Jugnauth, Mauritius’ former President and Prime Minister said his country was coerced into giving up the Chagos before independence.
After independence in 1968, most of the 1,500 islanders were deported so that the largest island, Diego Garcia, could be leased to the US for a huge military base. The ICJ’s judgment will be advisory, rather than legally binding, but as the Guardian says, it will be a significant moment in the UK’s increasingly isolated efforts to hold on to the Chagos.
People are just not getting it about plastics. The latest business “thing” in Seychelles is locally printed plastic business cards. This despite wide campaigns by NGOs, and sweeping policy and legislative action by government banning various plastic products. How can we get people to understand that so-called business innovations can only be viewed as such if they are environmentally and socially sustainable?
As I said previously, banning single-use plastics is only a first step https://goo.gl/TNgiwh. We need a whole slew of actions, and obviously mass education is one. New economic thinking is another. Significant economic value is lost after each plastic product use, along with negative impacts to natural systems. How can we turn the challenges of our current plastics economy into a global opportunity resulting in stronger economies and better environmental outcomes? The World Economic Forum and Ellen MacArthur Foundation, with McKinsey & Company, have come together to answer this question. Their latest report The New Plastics Economy: Rethinking the future of plastics lays out a blueprint for an economy where plastic never becomes waste. https://lnkd.in/eDhs88h
Science is the best thing that has happened to humankind because its results can be questioned, retested, and demonstrated to be right, or even wrong, says the Guardian newspaper. Science is not about proving at all cost some preconceived dogma
But, some of the most high profile findings in social sciences of the past decade do not stand up to replication, a major investigation has found. The project, which aimed to repeat 21 experiments that had been published in Science or Nature – science’s two preeminent journals – found that only 13 of the original findings could be reproduced.The replications were high powered, with sample sizes on average about five times higher than in the original studies.These results show that ‘statistically significant’ scientific findings need to be interpreted very cautiously until they have been replicated even if published in the most prestigious journals,” said Magnus Johannesson of the Stockholm School of Economics, one of the project leaders.
Similar results have been found in other fields. In 2015, an impressive collaboration of 270 investigators working for five years published in Science the results of their efforts to replicate 100 important results that had been previously published in three top psychology journals. The replicators worked closely with the original authors to make the repeat experiments close replicas of the originals. The results were bleak: 64% of the experiments could not be replicated. https://goo.gl/YMUJEF
A professor said coconut oil is “pure poison” and because she is affiliated to Harvard University everyone is running around like chickens without heads. Well, my response is this: why have a billion Indians, Pakistanis, Bangladeshis and Sri Lankans who use coconut oil daily for cooking not been poisoned?? In those countries they also apply coconut on their hair as routine and regular treatment.
For about 200 years Seychellois used coconut oil for cooking and we are still around, albeit more obese and probably sicker but not because of coconut oil.
My family’s company Jivan Jetha & Co, produced refined cooking oil from coconuts, famously known as “Jivans Cocoil”. This factory closed down when cheap palm oil from the Far East flooded the market. That was probably the early beginnings of obesity and related health problems, now hugely exacerbated by junk food and a sedentary life style.
Melissa Majumdar, a spokesperson for the U.S. Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics has said coconut oil is fine in moderation. “My message is that we can eat coconut oil,” Majumdar said, “but to be mindful of how it fits into our daily life.”
Consumption of meat is increasing at a faster rate than the world population. On a global scale the per capita consumption and the total amount of meat consumed are higher than ever before. This is bad news for the environment and our health, a report, published in the Journal of Science, says.
Two main factors are responsible. The world’s population is increasing which drives overall demand up, and individual incomes are rising so more people can afford to eat meat
There are various harmful effects on the environment. Rearing livestock produces higher carbon emissions than growing vegetables, fruits and grains. Currently, livestock production is responsible for 15% of all carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide emissions.
Animal production contributes to a loss of biodiversity, as forests and untamed land are turned into agricultural fields to grow animal feed.
Another area of concern is human health. Meat is a good source of nutrients for low-income households, but a meat-heavy diet has been linked to incidents of colorectal cancer and cardiovascular disease.
It’s becoming more and more evident that the trajectory of Seychelles’ Blue Economy is heavily dependant on geopolitics in our region. Who the big regional players are and whether they are advocates of sustainability and equity (2 key pillars of the Blue Economy) will be determining factors in the take-off or crash and burn of the Blue Economy.
As Seychelles signed up to China’s Belt and Road Initiative this week, against the background of its controversial decision to allow India to develop a naval base on Assumption island, it becomes the latest Indian Ocean nation to stumble into the power play of these 2 super- powers in this region.
Now, Japan has signaled that Tokyo is wading into the Indian Ocean, with Japanese Defense Minister Itsunori Onodera’s groundbreaking trip to Sri Lanka this week.
Japan has a strategic interest in Sri Lanka’s Hambantota Port. It reflects its “free and open seas” policy, which calls for a rules-based maritime system to ensure stability and prosperity.
Japan is looking to close ranks with India and Singapore and also develop Sri Lanka’s northeastern port of Trincomalee, the world’s second-deepest natural harbor, as a counterweight to China.
It’s therefore not a coincidence that Japan has this week officially announced it’s intention to open an Embassy in Seychelles.
Seychelles, and other smaller countries, which walked a tightrope between the US and the Soviet Union during the Cold War must prepare for another difficult balancing act as larger countries continue to move into this (once again) strategically important region.
Let us hope that the Blue Economy will not be sacrificed on the altar of geopolitical expediency.